GTA 6 launches on November 19 into a console market dominated by five live games. New Alinea Analytics estimates put Fortnite at 47.9 million average monthly players across PlayStation and Xbox this year, followed by Minecraft, Roblox, GTA V and Rocket League, with Call of Duty outside the top five. Alinea also says 15% to 25% of those players already play GTA V in a given month. Here are the numbers, our estimate of how many players each game shares with GTA, and why most of them should bounce back.
Last checked on November 11, 2026. Reported All player figures are third-party estimates from Alinea Analytics’ November 10 newsletter (average monthly active users, or MAUs, across PlayStation and Xbox from January to the end of October 2026), also shared by Alinea’s Rhys Elliott on X and summarised by CharlieINTEL. They are not publisher figures. The overlap and platform splits in players are our math.
The five biggest console games of 2026 so far
| Rank | Game | Avg monthly players (PS + Xbox) | PlayStation share | Also play GTA V each month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortnite | 47.9M | 72.3% | 15-20% |
| 2 | Minecraft | 24.2M | 55.1% | ~20% |
| 3 | Roblox | 22.9M | 67.1% | 20-25% |
| 4 | Grand Theft Auto V | 22.8M | 83.8% | n/a |
| 5 | Rocket League | 20.6M | 73.2% | ~15% |
Reported Source: Alinea Analytics estimates. One note on the order: CharlieINTEL’s viral summary lists Roblox second and Minecraft third, but Alinea’s own figures put Minecraft (24.2M) ahead of Roblox (22.9M). We use Alinea’s numbers. Alinea says Minecraft’s Xbox share is higher than usual because of Game Pass.
How many players each game shares with GTA
Our math Alinea gives the share of each game’s monthly players who also play GTA V in the same month. Multiplying that by the monthly audience gives a rough count of players who already split their time with GTA, the group most likely to move to GTA 6 first.
| Game | Monthly players | Share also on GTA V | Players shared with GTA (our math) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortnite | 47.9M | 15-20% | ~7.2M to 9.6M |
| Roblox | 22.9M | 20-25% | ~4.6M to 5.7M |
| Minecraft | 24.2M | ~20% | ~4.8M |
| Rocket League | 20.6M | ~15% | ~3.1M |
Our math Fortnite loses the most players in absolute terms simply because it is twice the size of anything else. Roblox has the highest overlap rate, which is why Alinea calls it “among the most vulnerable on the list”. Rocket League has both the lowest overlap and the smallest audience, so it should feel the least. These are monthly overlaps, not unique players, and a player can appear in more than one row.
PlayStation vs Xbox: where those players are
| Game | PlayStation (our math) | Xbox (our math) |
|---|---|---|
| Fortnite | ~34.6M | ~13.3M |
| Minecraft | ~13.3M | ~10.9M |
| Roblox | ~15.4M | ~7.5M |
| GTA V | ~19.1M | ~3.7M |
| Rocket League | ~15.1M | ~5.5M |
Our math Calculated from Alinea’s MAU totals and platform shares. GTA V is the most PlayStation-heavy game on the list at 83.8%, which fits Sensor Tower’s estimate that about 75% of GTA 6 digital pre-orders are on PS5 (see GTA 6 pre-orders).
How big is GTA 6’s starting audience?
Reported Sensor Tower estimates 9.69 million digital pre-orders for GTA 6 as of November 10, per GamesRadar+. Sony and Microsoft have confirmed it is the most pre-ordered game in the history of their stores, without giving a number. Our math 9.69 million is about 42% of GTA V’s 22.8 million monthly console players, before physical copies and launch-day buyers are counted. The biggest pool of likely GTA 6 day-one players is GTA V’s own audience, so GTA Online is the game most likely to see a lasting drop on PS5 and Xbox.
Will these games recover?
- Reported Alinea expects “sharp DAU hits” (daily players) when GTA 6 lands, then a rebound: “For many players, GTA 6 is a temporary whirlpool, not a sinking.”
- Reported Its reasoning: players churn and return to live-service games around content updates, as Fortnite’s daily-player spikes show.
- Reported The exception it flags is GTA Online. Alinea says a new GTA Online, which Rockstar has said little about, “could do some far longer-term damage”. See our GTA 6 Online guide for what is known.
- Our math Our read: expect the dip to be biggest in the first two weekends (November 21-22 and 28-29) and for live games to answer with big updates in December, before The Game Awards on December 10.
Why Call of Duty is missing
Reported Call of Duty does not appear in Alinea’s top five by average monthly players for 2026. Alinea’s newsletter does not break out Call of Duty’s figure, so we cannot say how far behind it is. We will not guess a number.
Key takeaways
- Fortnite has the most to lose in raw numbers (~7-10 million players shared with GTA a month, our math).
- Roblox is the most exposed by percentage, with 20-25% of its players already on GTA V monthly.
- Most live games should recover after the launch rush; GTA Online is the long-term wildcard.
- All figures are estimates from Alinea Analytics and Sensor Tower, not official sales or player counts.
FAQ
What is the most played game on PlayStation and Xbox in 2026?
Fortnite, according to Alinea Analytics estimates, with an average of 47.9 million monthly active users across PlayStation and Xbox from January to October 2026. These are third-party estimates, not Epic figures.
Which games will GTA 6 hurt the most?
Alinea Analytics points to Fortnite for raw numbers and Roblox for overlap: 20% to 25% of Roblox players also play GTA V in a given month. Rocket League has the lowest overlap in the top five, at about 15%.
Is Call of Duty in the top five most played console games of 2026?
No. Call of Duty is outside Alinea Analytics’ top five by average monthly players across PlayStation and Xbox this year. Alinea did not publish its exact figure.
How many people play GTA 5 every month on console?
Alinea Analytics estimates 22.8 million monthly players across PlayStation and Xbox in 2026, with 83.8% on PlayStation.
Will Fortnite and Roblox lose players permanently to GTA 6?
Alinea expects a sharp short-term drop in daily players and a recovery once the launch rush ends, helped by live updates. It sees a new GTA Online as the bigger long-term risk.